NASA SBIR SUCCESS STORY Kennedy Space Center
1994 Phase II

Schedule and Cost Risk Analysis Modeling (SCRAM) System

Lumina Decision Systems, Inc.

Los Gatos, CA

INNOVATION
Lumina Decision Systems, Inc., has jointly developed with NASA a software system to analyze the schedule and cost risks in complex projects.
ACCOMPLISHMENTS
  • The Schedule and Cost Risk Analysis Modeling (SCRAM) system, based on a version of Lumina’s Analytica® software tool, was developed under a Phase II Small Business Innovation Research (SBIR) contract with NASA at Kennedy Space Center.
  • Analytica® was used by Resources for the Future (RFF), a nonprofit, non-advocacy research organization in Washington, D.C., to facilitate a U.S. Department of Energy (DoE) assessment of the “Grand Experiment,” the term politicians in Congress used for the 1990 Clean Air Act Amendments. The amendments included market-based incentives for electrical utility companies to control their pollutant emissions of precursors to acid rain.
  • Enrich Consulting, Inc., a Silicon Valley-based consulting organization, specializes in customized support systems built with Analytica®. Enrich provides high-end analysis, expert solutions with training and ongoing consulting to clients in banking and investments, high technology, and telecommunications.
  • A leading decision support consultant, Decision Strategies, Inc, of Cumming, Georgia, used Analytica® to develop models in record time, saving a major customer $15 million.
Schedule and Cost Risk Analysis Modeling (SCRAM) System
Schedule and Cost Risk Analysis Modeling (SCRAM) System
COMMERCIALIZATION
  • Analytica® is marketed as a visual software tool for creating, analyzing, and communicating quantitative models. It provides an alternative to the spreadsheet, providing graphical influence diagrams to show qualitative structure of models and intelligent arrays with the power to scale simple models up to handle large problems.
  • Analytica® is available for Windows 95/98/NT 4.0 and the Macintosh operating system. The Enterprise version of Analytica® 2.0 adds additional capabilities to link to virtually any database using open data base connectivity (ODBC), and to hide sensitive portions of models from end-users with new privacy functionality.
  • Lumina also offers the Analytica® Decision Engine (ADE) to help users employ the decision support power in the user's custom Windows 95, Windows NT, and web-based applications.
GOVERNMENT/SCIENCE APPLICATIONS
  • SCRAM was developed in response to NASA's need to identify the importance of major delays in Shuttle ground processing, which is a critical function in project management and process improvement.
  • SCRAM was designed for application to complex NASA projects where the quantification of the impacts of specific delay categories on overall project risk adds significant value and insights to the project management team.
  • SCRAM is considered by NASA to be a significant improvement to the state-of-the-art in schedule and cost risk analysis because it allows realistic models of schedule variables (e.g., task lengths) to be built and analyzed. Existing risk analysis tools provided constrained and limited modeling capabilities.
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